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eurogeddon armageddon

Deloitte Access Economics is, in its own words, one of Australia’s most recognised economics advisory practices. It offers policy, regulatory and strategic advice, forecasting and modelling services, and five “highly regarded” publications offering investment, business and economic analysis.


Deloitte Access Economics was in the news this evening, including prominent coverage on Australian Broadcasting Corporation news and news commentary programs, because of a report it released today.

The ABC is where serious news is presented by serious journalism. It could have been expected therefore, that the ABC’s financial journalists would have taken their copy of the Deloitte report today, seen that it was an analysis piece on the European debt crisis, and noted that Deloitte’s prediction was that Europe is likely to muddle through without bringing upon us all the doom and destruction being touted by some others.

As such, in a solid news day, the ABC financial journalists may have put the Deloitte report aside as not quite catchy enough in an objective news prioritisation sense. Not a lot of man bites dog there.

But they didn’t put it aside. As stated earlier, they ran it on their main evening news bulletin, and it got a prominent mention on The Drum analysis program which runs up to the news.

Why is that?

The reason is that someone clever at Deloitte Access Economics, perhaps an editor, came up with the following headline for the report: Eurogeddon.


I just did a Google News search for that word and got 158 results, international media organisations and global economics bloggers amongst them.

The guts of this report is that Deloitte Access Economics is predicting that the European debt crisis will be resolved without the truly dire consequences for global debt, growth and employment that some are saying are possible.

We’re not saying the ABC journalists or, probably, most of the educated commentators responsible for those 158 other reports have tried to hide this. All the reports we have seen mentioned this overall Deloitte conclusion.

However, all those reports also ran with the doomsday details which Deloitte added as a worst-case scenario.

We’re not saying the journalists and bloggers got this wrong. We’re saying that most of them would not have reported the story at all except for one thing: that clever, if misleading, heading of Eurogeddon.



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Out of adversity comes opportunity

March 31st 2011 02:09
Cyclone Yasi
Cyclone Yasi

Graeme Newton is a busy man.

He heads the Queensland Reconstruction Authority, the body in charge of getting the Australian state back on its feet after twin muggings by nature earlier this year - widespread flooding in January was followed two weeks later by Cyclone Yasi, a storm so big we may never see another like it.

Graeme Newton and his team are in charge of cleaning up. The bill is expected to be about A$5.8 billion.

So he had plenty of other things to worry about recently when he was asked to take a phone call from the World Bank, a body involved in the permanent disaster area of global poverty.

"Could we," the World Bank asked Graeme Newton, "send a few people to watch what you're doing?"

"Why?" Newton replied, or words to that effect.

"Because," said the World Bank, "we think that what you are doing is cutting edge."

The World Bank may not have used the term "cutting-edge", but media reports today do use the term to describe how the World Bank saw the way Newton and Queensland were going about reconstruction.

Out of adversity comes opportunity. The observers are on their way and, hopefully, the World Bank will learn something which will be of use in its future roles in disaster management.

When it comes to disasters, every little bit helps.


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Sex and the cost benefit analysis

January 25th 2011 23:36
sexy ugly woman

Cost benefit analysis just got sexy, in an ugly kind of way.

A survey – the kind commissioned by a company with the aim of promoting the company – was conducted recently by an American dating site. The researchers, whose principal task in these projects is to find the sort of quirky facts which tabloid newspapers like to run with, were delighted to unearth the following: women who are thought ugly by some men and not others have the best chance of finding love on dating sites.

Women whose looks polarise male opinion get up to three times as many hits as those rated consistently attractive, said the press release, quoting the dating site.

It’s a bit of a spin on something most men know from the time they are old enough to talk to women without trembling or stuttering, which is that members of the average male majority are intimidated by stunners, and feel they have a better chance approaching somone plainer.

Things got interesting, and novel, however, when the PR people putting together the dating site’s research promotion contacted Dr Lauren Rosewarne, a political science lecturer at the University of Melbourne in Australia, and asked her to comment.

The academic’s answer was entertaining. The paradox, she said, was explained by cost benefit analysis.

“It's a numbers game,” she said. “When a woman is considered conventionally attractive, men may feel that she will attract a lot of attention and competition. A man is working out his chances are better with a woman not considered conventionally attractive.''

Why they didn’t ask a psychologist is not explained, nor is it clear why a political scientist turned to economic analogy to answer, but anyone who can get sex and cost benefit analysis into one idea gets an ovation from us.
mxnet.com.au



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Making money without money

November 21st 2010 00:44
barter
An 1874 newspaper illustration from 'Harper's Weekly', showing a man engaging in barter, offering chickens in exchange for his yearly newspaper subscription.


The global meltdown saw, in much of the developed world, unemployment soar, spending stop, credit dry up, markets shrink and business opportunities take up residence in a galaxy far away. It was is no time to be an entrepreneur, right


[ Click here to read more ]
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Fertile economics

October 24th 2010 06:38
Harold Ickes
Harold Ickes, US Secretary of the Interior from 1933 to 1946.
In another time and another downturn, President Franklin Delano Roosevelt fought the Great Depression with all the weapons he could muster, boosting public spending, lowering interest rates to encourage lending etc.

In 1933 the US Secretary of the Interior, Harold Ickes, was asked why the president was so bent on shaking things up


[ Click here to read more ]
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Putting some spice into economics

September 26th 2010 11:26
dabbawala, tiffin walla

The word economics comes from the ancient Greek word oikonomia, which means "management and administration of a household", and economics today is often defined as the social science that studies the production, distribution and consumption of goods and services.

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181
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Never argue with an economist

July 1st 2010 03:14
John Key
John Key
Wages in New Zealand are about a third lower than wages across the puddle in Australia, and the country's much-respected Reserve Bank Governor, Sir Alan Bollard, was recently quoted as saying that wasn't about to change. New Zealand, he said, did not have the same advantages, such as mineral deposits, and was unable to compete.

New Zealand Prime Minister John Key sniffed a political opportunity and made a public pronouncement that Bollard's comments were negative. His government, he said, was pursuing policies to raise New Zealand income levels to match those of Australia within 15 years


[ Click here to read more ]
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