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eurogeddon armageddon

Deloitte Access Economics is, in its own words, one of Australia’s most recognised economics advisory practices. It offers policy, regulatory and strategic advice, forecasting and modelling services, and five “highly regarded” publications offering investment, business and economic analysis.


Deloitte Access Economics was in the news this evening, including prominent coverage on Australian Broadcasting Corporation news and news commentary programs, because of a report it released today.

The ABC is where serious news is presented by serious journalism. It could have been expected therefore, that the ABC’s financial journalists would have taken their copy of the Deloitte report today, seen that it was an analysis piece on the European debt crisis, and noted that Deloitte’s prediction was that Europe is likely to muddle through without bringing upon us all the doom and destruction being touted by some others.

As such, in a solid news day, the ABC financial journalists may have put the Deloitte report aside as not quite catchy enough in an objective news prioritisation sense. Not a lot of man bites dog there.

But they didn’t put it aside. As stated earlier, they ran it on their main evening news bulletin, and it got a prominent mention on The Drum analysis program which runs up to the news.

Why is that?

The reason is that someone clever at Deloitte Access Economics, perhaps an editor, came up with the following headline for the report: Eurogeddon.


I just did a Google News search for that word and got 158 results, international media organisations and global economics bloggers amongst them.

The guts of this report is that Deloitte Access Economics is predicting that the European debt crisis will be resolved without the truly dire consequences for global debt, growth and employment that some are saying are possible.

We’re not saying the ABC journalists or, probably, most of the educated commentators responsible for those 158 other reports have tried to hide this. All the reports we have seen mentioned this overall Deloitte conclusion.

However, all those reports also ran with the doomsday details which Deloitte added as a worst-case scenario.

We’re not saying the journalists and bloggers got this wrong. We’re saying that most of them would not have reported the story at all except for one thing: that clever, if misleading, heading of Eurogeddon.



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An economic whimsy

April 22nd 2011 22:08
pragmatism

“I find you impossible to follow,” said my dinner guest. “One moment you are bleating like a socialist, the next you are bellowing like a capitalist. Which are you?”

“I am neither a bleater nor a bellower,” I said.

“Then you’re a nothing. You have to be believe in one or the other.”

“Why must I believe in one or the other?”

“Because otherwise you are a fence-sitter, a man of no convictions, a leaf blowing in the wind. You can’t expect to sway opinion, to motivate people, to get things done, if you don’t have firm convictions.”

“It seems to me that firm convictions of the writ-in-stone kind you propose achieve little except lively dinner party conversations. My convictions are based on the practicalities of current circumstances, not the ideologies of ivory tower generals.”

“Then you are looking at the small picture. You don’t understand that ideas motivate masses. Therein lies real power.”

“And you don’t understand how much damage that mantra has wrought. You think as a politician, not an economist. An economist can be both a capitalist and a socialist.”

“And achieve nothing.”

“On the contrary. It is the people who insist on promoting only one side of a two-sided problem – and most problems are two-sided – that achieve nothing, unless you count notoriety. The real achievers are the pragmatists and negotiators, people more interested in outcomes than ego.”

“Those people work for me, and if they know what’s good for them, they will do as they are told.”

“The implication being that what’s good for them is what’s good for you. I prefer economic definitions of wellbeing.”

“That figures,” said my guest and, laughing at his own joke, poured some more of my wine.


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Out of adversity comes opportunity

March 31st 2011 02:09
Cyclone Yasi
Cyclone Yasi

Graeme Newton is a busy man.

He heads the Queensland Reconstruction Authority, the body in charge of getting the Australian state back on its feet after twin muggings by nature earlier this year - widespread flooding in January was followed two weeks later by Cyclone Yasi, a storm so big we may never see another like it.

Graeme Newton and his team are in charge of cleaning up. The bill is expected to be about A$5.8 billion.

So he had plenty of other things to worry about recently when he was asked to take a phone call from the World Bank, a body involved in the permanent disaster area of global poverty.

"Could we," the World Bank asked Graeme Newton, "send a few people to watch what you're doing?"

"Why?" Newton replied, or words to that effect.

"Because," said the World Bank, "we think that what you are doing is cutting edge."

The World Bank may not have used the term "cutting-edge", but media reports today do use the term to describe how the World Bank saw the way Newton and Queensland were going about reconstruction.

Out of adversity comes opportunity. The observers are on their way and, hopefully, the World Bank will learn something which will be of use in its future roles in disaster management.

When it comes to disasters, every little bit helps.


20
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Sex and the cost benefit analysis

January 25th 2011 23:36
sexy ugly woman

Cost benefit analysis just got sexy, in an ugly kind of way.

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31
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Making money without money

November 21st 2010 00:44
barter
An 1874 newspaper illustration from 'Harper's Weekly', showing a man engaging in barter, offering chickens in exchange for his yearly newspaper subscription.


The global meltdown saw, in much of the developed world, unemployment soar, spending stop, credit dry up, markets shrink and business opportunities take up residence in a galaxy far away. It was is no time to be an entrepreneur, right


[ Click here to read more ]
90
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Risk and reward

October 28th 2010 10:44
Dr Greg Chapman, director of Empower Business Solutions and writer of The Australian Small Business Blog, makes a telling business point with an anecdote about his university years.

The story concerns his three lecturers during one year of his MBA course. Two of the lecturers worked full-time for the university while one lectured part-time and ran a property development business as well


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91
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Burj Khalifa

You can't go wrong buying property, if you're investing for the long term, which is why property - in the form of the family home - is the single largest investment the great majority of us make in our lives.

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151
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Fertile economics

October 24th 2010 06:38
Harold Ickes
Harold Ickes, US Secretary of the Interior from 1933 to 1946.
In another time and another downturn, President Franklin Delano Roosevelt fought the Great Depression with all the weapons he could muster, boosting public spending, lowering interest rates to encourage lending etc.

In 1933 the US Secretary of the Interior, Harold Ickes, was asked why the president was so bent on shaking things up


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148
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Glittering Monopoly set

October 16th 2010 11:59
solid gold monopoly

If you think the picture above looks like a solid gold Monopoly set, with some diamonds, rubies, sapphires and topaz thrown in for decoration, you're right.

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130
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Eat meat and save the planet?

October 2nd 2010 07:19
The cause of global environmental action has not had a great year in 2010. After the Copenhagen Climate Conference in December 2009, when the leaders of the world gathered and demonstrated the profound commitment of politicians to achieving nothing, you'd think things could not have grown worse.

They did, with the release of a report in Britain in the new year which showed that vegetarianism is bad for the planet


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180
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